Catch a Grip and actually think about the sensationalised outpourings predicting climate change Armageddon.
Is it really so?
Is the world really—literally—burning?
Or just metaphorically?
Is the science (about impending man-made climate catastrophe) really settled?
My response to this last question is to point out that the scientific endeavour is inherently adversarial and therefore never really settled but rather, always subject to revision in light of new robust evidence.
Catch a Grip…we can’t Just Stop Oil’.
Why?
Because the reliable 24/7 all year round power required by developed and developing global economies is still dependent on fossil (and nuclear) fuel; and with present technology, renewables just don’t have that reliability (while of course, we are hopeful that this will change as technology develops…but we’re not there yet).
The world isn’t burning, and we’re not all going to die.
While, yes, man-made or ‘anthropomorphic’ greenhouse gas emissions are, arguably, strongly hypothesised as a significant—but not the only—contributor to climate change driving an increasing intensity of events such as wildfires and storms.
The debate.
Seems to me that the ‘what’s causing climate change?’ debate is tortuously muddled—and unnecessarily so—because vociferous actors on both sides of the argument, ‘for’ and ‘against’ man-made cause, are not exactly transparent (by simple oversight AND design) in putting their opinions forward for systematic scrutiny.
For instance, one argument against man-made climate change is that there were much warmer periods in Earth’s far-off past, before man’s activity was around.
So can science account for this while discounting such cause as working to drive climate change now and robustly put current cause on man’s doorstep?
If so, then I’m happy to go along with the ‘scientific consensus’ of human activity—especially industrial—being the main driver of present climate change.
See…it’s easy…just go with the science—-as long as that science is properly carried out, with no interference from non-scientists such as vote-seeking politicians (and also that the scientists themselves are not working to a pet agenda).
So what can we realistically do?
Well, what we mustn’t do is penury current working economies in pursuit of, for instance, covering every nook and cranny on Earth with current generation renewable technology (such as wind turbines and solar panels) which is still too unreliable to provide the 24/7 all year round power which the world needs.
And by the way, where do you think that the vast subsidies already given to kick-start renewables came from in the first place?
From presently working economies founded on reliable 24/7, relatively cheap, all-year-round power from fossil (and nuclear) fuel.
Indeed.. .
Even Bill Gates, in his book How to Avoid a Climate Disaster, posits that power from renewables needs to be at least as cheap as that from fossil fuel in order to get us weaned off the latter; he also informs us that presently, overall human activity, emits an average 51 Billion tons of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere each year.
Now that’s a vast amount of those gases; seems to me that even though our planet and its atmosphere is also relatively vast, such an amount of human-driven emissions just has to have some kind of effect on it.
But how much so?
Some say all (the delusional climate activists, I think), some say none (the delusional climate change deniers), and yet others, somewhere in-between (the realists who will actually do the world most good by implementing sensible policies within the resources of current working economies).
For let us remember, climate change is only ONE of the challenges facing mankind, and arguably, not the most important one.
Required terms of sensible debate.
First…nobody gets initially canceled simply because we think that we might not agree with them; however, some arguments may, in the course of debate, be judged as scientifically wanting.
Seems to me, that’s the way to do it; invite all with a contribution to make, into the party; then see what arguments survive scientific scrutiny.
Thus, we can come to have a fair idea about the scale of man-made contribution to climate change with its hypothesised association with more intense adverse events such as floods and storms…and therefore, how we might best address this challenge.
Catch a Grip…don’t go all ‘Armageddon’ on us; because we need clear, cool thinking…not panic towards ill-conceived climate change policies that, arguably, would be more disastrous in terms of overall good for the world population (especially the poor) than severe adverse weather events.
Delusional versus realistic.
Delusion:
Massively CO2/hot air-spewing, virtue-signaling climate conferences where activists and gullible/cynically self-serving world leaders knowingly (I think) make unachievable commitments toward addressing the touted ‘Armageddonic’ consequences of climate change which everybody at these events seems to be buying into.
Realism:
When those world leaders get back home and reality kicks in—along with reeling back on their hot air ‘commitments’; here in the UK, the Prime Minister Rishie Sunak is essentially implying that the short-term/hard target ‘Green’ agenda is too much too soon, given our economic resources and societal need for reliable, 24/7 all year round power—which at the moment, renewables cannot provide; and I suspect that such reality-checks are beginning to take place all over the world.
Thus, barring ‘game changer’ technological innovation, we need to slow down and do our ‘green work’ within the reliable fossil/nuclear power foundation that we have.
So ‘going completely green’ is, realistically, in the longer-term future (minimum 50 years of tapering-off fossil fuel use according to some commentators).
So Catch a Grip and ‘go green’ in a gradual, practical manner—addressing climate change as just one of the challenges facing us.
Now that’s, seems to me, un-delusional.
Realist suggestion.
Check out well-researched realist publications about addressing climate change, such as Bjorn Lomborg’s; e. g. The Skeptical Environmentalist—Cool It—False Alarm.
..Then.. .
Dare you to come back at me with your ‘mental health breakdown’ over worrying about absolutely certain Armageddon-level climate change consequences.
Pull yourself together and Catch a Grip.